By Micah Halpern
I've Been Thinking:
People in Israel are talking about national elections.
Analysts are saying that the prime minister is floundering and that the final straw is that the finance minister and he have come to an impasse.
The problem with this analysis ... which is correct ... is that it assumes that there will be a reshuffle with a new election.
Yes there will be a reshuffling - but not with the traditional parties. If there were an election tomorrow there is no doubt that the big losers would be the new parties. It is the new parties which would suffer the most.
The current leading party, Likud, may lose some seats but Likud would still be the party to beat and Likud would be the winning party.
Other than Likud, there really is no party or leader on the horizon. The parties which want to flex their muscles and apply pressure to pull down the government in a vote of no confidence would actually be weakening their own current political power and their own positions.
Micah@MicahHalpern.com
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