Thursday, March 5, 2020

Pundits Wrong About Israeli Elections

By Micah Halpern
I've Been Thinking:

There are several essential takeaways from Israel’s election.

#1: Rather than exhibiting voter fatigue during their third election in the course of one year, Israeli were energized with more people voting in this election than in any election since 1999.

#2: Predictions about Netanyahu being punished by voters and about voters being unable to overlook the legal issues he is entangled with, proved false.

#3: Labor and Gesher have truly imploaded, Israel’s founding political party is now barely breathing.

#4: The Joint Arab List leached voters from Labor and are now the real left in Israeli politics, steadily increasing with each election and has become, as they are about to receive 14 or 15 Parliamentary seats, the third largest political party in Israel.

#5: Israelis have long believed that, because there are 120 seats in the Knesset, 61 was the magic number for coalition building, yet governments have been built and functioned with as small a coalition as 53 seats. A coalition of 61, or even of 59, is very difficult to keep together and is not a stable government, it works for a short time, but Israeli governments do not last.

Not a single Israeli government has ever survived its entire term.

Micah@MicahHalpern.com 

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