Sunday, July 15, 2012

Syria's Chemical Weapons

By Micah Halpern
I've Been Thinking:

According to Western intelligence sources, Syria has begun moving some of its chemical stores. This is very concerning.

From my sources and from the reports I have received it does not seem to me that the Syrians are prepping the chemicals for use - but rather, moving them out of the conflict and more importantly, out of the potential hands of al Qaeda.

But there is an implicit threat in moving the chemicals. It means they exist. And it means that Bashar Assad may, at some point, want to use them. However, contrary to what most analysts say the threat is not that Assad might use chemicals against his own people.

The threat is that Assad will either attack Israel with the chemicals or counter with the chemicals. He might believe in an old fashioned, tried and true, method of leadership in the Arabic world - when all else fails attack Israel. That might unify and bring together the masses.

I know that it is one of Assad's potential plans and has been since the beginning of the rebellion in Syria. As
of now it has not been clear that the high cost of attacking Israel would pan out in any significant gain for Assad.

If al Qaeda were to get their hands on the chemicals there would be only trouble for the entire region.


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