By Micah Halpern
I've Been Thinking:Yesterday Jordan's King Abdullah said that the conflict in Syria could have a long term detrimental impact on the region.
King Abdullah went on to explain that he was worried that if Assad was unable to hold on to the entire state called Syria, Assad might carve out a smaller region which would be a safe haven for his own Alawite tribe.
The Alawites are a break off of Shiite Islam.
If that should happen it means that another state would emerge in the region, a state which is the sworn enemy of some of its neighbors.
This is not the King of Jordan's biggest worry. Abdullah's biggest fear is that the same type of al Qaeda sponsored unrest now in Syria will cross over the border into Jordan and attempt to oust him and his family from power.
There are so many people now coming across the border seeking refuge in Jordan and Abdullah knows that some are there to foment and organize a movement against him.
Will Abdullah learn the lessons of Mubarak and Assad, both of whom exercised moderate restraint? Or will Abdullah massively murder on the first day of an uprising the way his father did when he massacred anywhere between 3,400 - 10,000 Palestinians in 11 days to put down a coup. That period in Jordanian history is now and forever known as Black September.
Micah@MicahHalpern.com
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